ISIS Lecture 01/12/10
Sustainable Agriculture
Essential for Green Circular Economy
No attempt to build a green economy can
succeed unless it is fully integrated with
sustainable primary agricultural production based
on natures own circular economy Dr.
Mae-Wan Ho
Invited Lecture for Ten+One Conference on
Closed Loop Thinking, University of Bradford,
UK, 29 November 1 December, 2010.
Chinas circular economy initiative
I first heard the term circular economy
mentioned while on a study-lecture tour in China
in 2006; after I had given a talk on my
zero-entropy model of organisms and
sustainable systems [1, 2] (The
Rainbow and the Worm, The Physics of Organisms,
ISIS publication; Sustainable
Systems as Organisms? ISIS scientific
publication) at the Guangzhou Institute of
Geography (Guangzhou, Canton Province). Prof.
Zhang Hongou, director of the Institute, told me
that what I had been talking about was the circular
economy of mainstream Chinese thinking, as
opposed to the dominant linear economy of the
West.
Circular economy originated from a
Chinese government initiative launched in 2004 to
balance economic development with the protection
of environmental resources [3, 4]. The initiative
came at the end of 25 years in which Chinas
economy has been growing on average 8.7 percent a
year, with concomitant rise in material and
energy consumption. Oil imports increased sharply,
water and mineral resources were over-exploited,
and environmental pollution threatened to get out
of control. Politicians and academics alike were
calling for a more efficient, circular economy.
Under the proposal from the National
Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), a
circular economy would be achieved through
legislative, political, technical and financial
measures; including government subsidies and tax
breaks.
The initiative was targeted at the
manufacturing and service business sectors,
exhorting them to enhance the economy and the
environment by collaborating in managing
environmental resources, so that one facilitys
waste, including energy, water, materials (as
well as information), is anothers input. By
working together, the business community
seeks a collective benefit that is larger than
the sum of the individual benefits.
The circular economy was linked to an
ambitious development target to raise the
majority of Chinas population into the
all-round well-being society [4], so that
by 2050, a larger population of 1.8 billion would
have per capita GDP increased five-fold to US$ 4
000 per year. Some people think that could be
achieved within the next 30 years, but would
demand a sharp rise in production, multiplying
the pressures on natural resources and the
environment. Chinas economy would need at
least a seven-fold improvement in efficiency of
resource use, or more likely, as much as ten-fold.
In 2008, China passed the Circular Economy Law
[5]: Article 1 states: This Law is
formulated for the purpose of promoting the
development of the circular economy, improving
the resource utilization efficiency, protecting
and improving the environment and realizing
sustainable development. Article 2 states:
The term circular economy as
mentioned in these measures is a generic term for
the reducing, reusing and recycling activities
conducted in the process of production,
circulation and consumption.
The Circular Economy Law is a watered-down
version of the original proposal [4]. It has no
vision for reducing resource-use, or improving
resource-use efficiency seven to ten-fold. It
states no goals, relying instead on incremental
improvements. Furthermore, while the Law will be
managed by the powerful NDRC, the actual
implementation and enforcement will be delegated
to Local Authorities that are often accused of
being corrupt.
In my view, the biggest omission in Chinas
circular economy is not the lack of targets or central
control; it is to leave out sustainable primary
agricultural production - the heart and soul of a
circular economy - as I said in a lecture at
Remin University in Beijing in March 2010 (see [6]
Sustainable
Agriculture, Green Energies and the Circular
Economy, SiS 46).